The crowd called it — Atletico won 1–3.
Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid: how does it end? 701 verified humans answered. Crowd well above market on Atletico win, dismissing draw and Sevilla routes the market kept open.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Atletico than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
A dominant crowd conviction: Atletico control the match and leave Seville with the points, the scenario two-thirds of voters locked onto.
A minority vision of a home stand: Sevilla find a way through and take the result in front of their own fans.
The least-backed read: neither side breaks the deadlock and the points are shared, a scenario the crowd largely set aside.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.17
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.