The crowd called it — Flamengo won 2–0.
Flamengo vs Mirassol: how does it end? 724 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Flamengo, below market on the Tie. And the result followed suit.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Flamengo than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
A dominant Flamengo victory: the crowd's overwhelming consensus, with most voters backing the home side to take all three points.
An upset for the visitors: a small but notable slice of the crowd saw Mirassol pulling off a result against the odds.
Stalemate: the smallest faction of the crowd, well below what the market implied, saw both sides cancelling each other out.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.08
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.