All resolved pollsResolved · 5 OCT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Estudiantes de La PlataWon · Crowd had 52%3
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza0
The verdict

The crowd called it — Estudiantes de La Plata won 3–0.

Estudiantes de La Plata vs Gimnasia (Mendoza) 573 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Gimnasia, below on the draw. The clearest divergence in a single-leg poll.

52%Crowd on Estudiantes de La Plata
53%Market price
-1Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

573 verified humans · one human, one vote
Estudiantes de La PlataWhat happened52%298 voters
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza27%152 voters
Tie21%123 voters
Estudiantes de La Plata won, so 52% of the crowd called it. The market had Estudiantes de La Plata at 53%.
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
52%298 voters
Estudiantes de La Plata

The crowd's plurality vision: Estudiantes controlling the contest at home and taking the points, though with less certainty than the market carried.

Scenario 2
27%152 voters
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

A sizeable minority saw Gimnasia pulling off the away result, backing them well above what the market was willing to price.

Scenario 3
21%123 voters
Tie

The crowd was notably cooler on a stalemate than the market, with fewer than one in four voters seeing the points shared.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.35
Brier score
0.35

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
298 of 573

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.