Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa y Justicia: how does it end? 643 verified humans answered. Crowd on Defensa y Justicia: more than double the market, and the draw landed instead.
The crowd was more confident in Defensa y Justicia than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
The crowd's dominant vision: Defensa y Justicia travelling to Velez and leaving with the points, a conviction running far ahead of what the market implied.
A sizeable minority saw Velez Sarsfield doing what the market expected, winning at home and justifying their status as clear favourites.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: both sides cancelling each other out and sharing the points, a scenario the market also rated below a Velez win.
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.