The crowd backed Huracan. Tie won 0–0.
Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra: how does it end? 633 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Huracan, well below on Tie, the outcome that actually landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Huracan than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Huracan controlling proceedings at home and converting that into a winning result, a conviction held by three in five voters.
A sizeable minority saw Deportivo Riestra pulling off the away win, a scenario the crowd rated far above what the market was willing to price.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a stalemate in which neither side could separate themselves, treated as a fringe possibility by the collective.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.26
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.