The crowd backed Guadalajara. Tie won 1–1.
Pachuca vs Guadalajara: how does it end? 691 verified humans answered. Crowd overweights Pachuca, underweights Tie, and the draw lands in the gap.
How the crowd voted
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Guadalajara leave Pachuca's ground with the win, making this the single most-backed outcome in the poll.
A strong home-win conviction, with the crowd backing Pachuca at a rate well above what the market was pricing in.
The crowd's least-favoured call: a stalemate that neither side separates, sitting well below the market's own estimate for this outcome.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.06
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.