The crowd backed Rosario. Tie won 2–2.
Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Central: how does it end? 702 verified humans answered. Crowd pushed Rosario well above market price, but the draw the crowd discounted is what landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Rosario than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
Half the crowd pictured Rosario leaving Córdoba with the win, making it the dominant collective vision and the sharpest departure from what the market implied.
A strong minority saw Talleres holding home advantage and taking the points, keeping the home side as a credible second scenario in the crowd's collective map.
Only a small slice of the crowd envisioned the sides cancelling each other out, placing the draw as a distant third despite the market rating it nearly as likely as either win.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.19
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.