The crowd called it — Real Madrid won 4–0.
Real Madrid vs Málaga: how does it end? 704 verified humans answered. Crowd pushed Real Madrid well above market price, Malaga and Tie both squeezed below, and the result followed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Real Madrid than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
An overwhelming share of the crowd saw Real Madrid controlling the contest and taking the result, leaving almost no room for doubt.
A small but notable pocket of voters held a contrarian vision of Malaga pulling off the upset on the road.
The thinnest slice of the crowd imagined neither side separating, the match ending level and the points shared.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.02
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.