All resolved pollsResolved · 30 AUG 2026Crowd & market agreed
CagliariCrowd had 15%0
Inter Milan1
The verdict

The crowd called it — Inter won 0–1.

Cagliari vs Inter Milan: how does it end? 702 verified humans answered. Crowd well above market on Inter win, draw sharply discounted. Read aligned with outcome.

79%Crowd on Inter
63%Market price
+16Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

702 verified humans · one human, one vote
InterWhat happened79%552 voters
Cagliari15%102 voters
Tie7%48 voters
Inter won, so 79% of the crowd called it. The market had Inter at 63%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
63%
79%
Crowd
+16 ppts

The crowd was more confident in Inter than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
79%552 voters
Inter

The dominant crowd vision: Inter in control from start to finish, leaving no real foothold for Cagliari to threaten the result.

Scenario 2
15%102 voters
Cagliari

A minority crowd vision: Cagliari seizing the moment at home, pulling off the upset against the heavier favourites.

Scenario 3
7%48 voters
Tie

The least-backed crowd vision: neither side breaking the deadlock, the points shared in a match that refused a winner.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.07
Brier score
0.07

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-1

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
552 of 702

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.