The crowd backed Atlante. Tie won 1–1.
Atlante vs León: how does it end? 712 verified humans answered. Crowd piles into Atlante well above market; the draw both sides underweighted was the result.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Atlante than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
Nearly half the crowd saw Atlante controlling the contest and taking all three points, making it the dominant collective vision by a clear margin.
Over a third of voters pictured León asserting themselves on the road and leaving with the win, a strong but second-placed conviction.
Only a fifth of the crowd envisioned the sides cancelling each other out, making a shared spoils finish the least-expected scenario in the collective map.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.00
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.