All resolved pollsResolved · 17 OCT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Banfield0
Argentinos Juniors1
The verdict

The crowd called it — AA Argentinos Juniors won 0–1.

Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors 530 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Banfield, below on the draw. Argentinos Juniors the shared favourite.

47%Crowd on AA Argentinos Juniors
47%Market price
0Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

530 verified humans · one human, one vote
AA Argentinos JuniorsWhat happened47%248 voters
CA Banfield32%168 voters
Tie22%114 voters
AA Argentinos Juniors won, so 47% of the crowd called it. The market had AA Argentinos Juniors at 47%.
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
47%248 voters
AA Argentinos Juniors

Close to half the crowd saw Argentinos Juniors leaving Banfield's ground with the points, matching the market's own favourite exactly.

Scenario 2
32%168 voters
CA Banfield

Nearly a third of voters backed the home side, a notably stronger lean toward Banfield than the market was willing to price.

Scenario 3
22%114 voters
Tie

Fewer than one in four voters saw the match ending level, a meaningfully cooler read on the draw than the market implied.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.43
Brier score
0.43

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
248 of 530

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.