All resolved pollsResolved · 6 SEPT 2026Upset
HuachipatoCrowd had 22%0
Colo-ColoCrowd's pick · 63%0
The verdict

The crowd backed Colo-Colo. Tie won 0–0.

Huachipato vs Colo-Colo: how does it end? 703 verified humans answered. Crowd pushed Colo-Colo well above market price, while the draw landed as the field's least-backed call.

63%Crowd on Colo-Colo
54%Market price
+9Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

703 verified humans · one human, one vote
Colo-ColoCrowd’s pick63%444 voters
Huachipato22%152 voters
TieWhat happened15%107 voters
Tie won, so 15% of the crowd called it — a plurality of 63% did not. The market had Colo-Colo at 54%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
54%
63%
Crowd
+9 ppts

The crowd was more confident in Colo-Colo than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Crowd’s pick
63%444 voters
Colo-Colo

Nearly two-thirds of the crowd saw Colo-Colo leaving Huachipato's ground with the win, making it the dominant and near-unanimous vision of how the match would resolve.

Scenario 2
22%152 voters
Huachipato

A minority of the crowd backed the home side to cause an upset, picturing Huachipato grinding out a result on their own turf against the visiting favourites.

Scenario 3Came true
15%107 voters
Tie

Just a sliver of the crowd imagined the sides cancelling each other out, making a draw the least-held vision in the room despite it being the actual outcome.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.17
Brier score
1.17

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
107 of 703

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.