The crowd called it — Uruguay won 1–6.
India vs Uruguay 579 verified humans answered. Crowd below market on Uruguay, the one leg where the field leaned lighter than the price.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Uruguay than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's overwhelming vision: Uruguay in control from the off, with the vast majority of voters seeing no other credible outcome.
A small but notable minority held firm on an India upset, picturing the hosts defying the odds in front of their own crowd.
The thinnest slice of the crowd imagined a stalemate, neither side pulling clear, with the contest ending level.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.04
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.