The crowd backed CA Barracas Central. It finished 1–1.
Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central 555 verified humans answered. Crowd on Barracas Central win: well above market, draw proved the outlier both sides underweighted.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in CA Barracas Central than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Barracas Central leaving Junín with all three points, a conviction held far more firmly than the market reflected.
A sizeable portion of the crowd saw Sarmiento as the home side capitalising on familiar ground, broadly in line with where the market sat.
The smallest crowd camp foresaw a stalemate, a scenario the market rated far more likely than the crowd did, making it the most contrarian read in the room.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.94
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.