All resolved pollsResolved · 8 OCT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Náutico0
Novorizontino2
The verdict

The crowd called it — Gremio Novorizontino won 0–2.

Náutico vs Novorizontino 555 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Novorizontino, below on Tie. And the result followed the crowd's lean.

43%Crowd on Gremio Novorizontino
41%Market price
+2Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

555 verified humans · one human, one vote
Gremio NovorizontinoWhat happened43%236 voters
Nautico34%190 voters
Tie23%129 voters
Gremio Novorizontino won, so 43% of the crowd called it. The market had Gremio Novorizontino at 41%.
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
43%236 voters
Gremio Novorizontino

The crowd's plurality vision: Novorizontino leaving Náutico's ground with the points, the most consolidated single read across all 555 voters.

Scenario 2
34%190 voters
Nautico

A substantial minority held firm on a home win for Náutico, making it the second most backed outcome in the crowd's collective map.

Scenario 3
23%129 voters
Tie

Roughly one in four voters saw neither side pulling clear, a share the crowd placed below what the market had priced for a draw.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.49
Brier score
0.49

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
236 of 555

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.