The crowd called it — Lazio won 1–2.
Udinese vs Lazio: how does it end? 703 verified humans answered. Crowd sits well above market on Lazio, the widest gap in the poll.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Lazio than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Lazio leaving Udinese's ground with the points, backed by nearly two-thirds of all voters in a sharply skewed collective read.
A minority but meaningful camp sees Udinese turning the table at home, holding roughly a quarter of the crowd's collective weight.
The smallest slice of the crowd pictures neither side breaking through, a low-conviction fringe well below where the market prices a draw.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.22
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.