Manila: how hot on 28 August? 157 verified humans answered. Dead-flat split across top picks, no crowd conviction to speak of, and the outcome landed outside all leading calls.
A slice of the crowd saw Manila hitting a warm but measured peak, picturing a hot late-August day that stays just within a familiar comfort zone for the city.
An equal share pictured Manila running slightly cooler, a day that feels hot but stops short of the sharper heat the other camps anticipated.
18% of voters backed 28°C — the result.
A third cluster saw Manila pushing into genuine intensity, picturing a sweltering late-August afternoon well above the other leading calls.
15% of voters backed 31°C.
10% of voters backed 27°C.
3% of voters backed Other.
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.