All resolved pollsResolved · 22 AUG 2026Crowd & market agreed
FluminenseWon · Crowd had 74%2
RemoCrowd had 19%1
The verdict

The crowd called it — Fluminense won 2–1.

Fluminense vs Remo: how does it end? 627 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Fluminense, well below on Tie. The gap landed on the right side.

74%Crowd on Fluminense
68%Market price
+6Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

627 verified humans · one human, one vote
FluminenseWhat happened74%462 voters
Remo19%121 voters
Tie7%44 voters
Fluminense won, so 74% of the crowd called it. The market had Fluminense at 68%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
68%
74%
Crowd
+6 ppts

The crowd was more confident in Fluminense than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
74%462 voters
Fluminense

The dominant crowd vision: Fluminense in control, a clear home victory, with nearly three quarters of voters converging on this single outcome.

Scenario 2
19%121 voters
Remo

A minority crowd vision: Remo causing an upset, overturning expectations and leaving Fluminense without a win.

Scenario 3
7%44 voters
Tie

The thinnest crowd scenario: neither side separating, the match ending level in a result very few voters considered likely.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.11
Brier score
0.11

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-1

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
462 of 627

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.