The crowd backed CA Boca Juniors. It finished 2–2.
Instituto (Córdoba) vs Boca Juniors 554 verified humans answered. Crowd piled into Boca Juniors win at nearly double the market price, but the draw landed instead.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in CA Boca Juniors than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
An overwhelming majority of the crowd envisioned Boca Juniors leaving Córdoba with the three points, making this by far the dominant collective vision.
A small but distinct slice of the crowd saw the home side pulling off a win, holding a contrarian belief against the strong Boca tide.
Only a thin fringe of the crowd pictured the points shared, making a draw the least-imagined outcome across the entire verified group.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.33
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.