The crowd backed Fulham. Sunderland won 1–0.
Sunderland vs Fulham: how does it end? 690 verified humans answered. Crowd well above market on Fulham, well below on the draw. Sunderland won instead.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Fulham than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Fulham leave Sunderland's ground with the points, a conviction held by nearly half the room and well ahead of where the market stood.
A sizeable minority saw Sunderland holding home advantage and taking the result, broadly in line with the market's own read on the hosts.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: both sides level at the final whistle, a scenario the market rated far more seriously than the crowd was willing to.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.68
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.