The crowd backed Once Caldas. CA Bucaramanga won 1–3.
Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga: Colombia Primera A 603 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on CA Bucaramanga, below on Once Caldas, with Bucaramanga the outcome that landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Once Caldas than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: a home win for Once Caldas, backed by nearly half of all verified voters as the most likely single outcome.
A sizeable minority saw Bucaramanga leaving with the points, placing them well above where the market had priced that possibility.
The draw scenario attracted the smallest share of the crowd, sitting well below both the home win and the away win in collective conviction.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.69
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.