The crowd backed América de Cali. Independiente Medellín won 1–2.
América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín 546 verified humans answered. Crowd well above market on Medellín, well below on América, and Medellín won.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in América de Cali than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: home advantage holds, América de Cali control their ground and take the points at El Pascual Guerrero.
A strong contrarian bloc saw Medellín travelling well, backing the away side at nearly twice the rate the market implied.
A smaller but notable share pictured both sides cancelling each other out, neither able to land a decisive blow across ninety minutes.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.62
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.