The crowd called it — CS Independiente Rivadavia won 0–1.
Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia 606 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Independiente Rivadavia, below on the draw. And the result followed the crowd's lean.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in CS Independiente Rivadavia than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Independiente Rivadavia take the points on the road, outpacing both the draw and the home side in collective confidence.
A strong minority picture: Barracas Central hold home advantage and grind out a win, keeping Independiente Rivadavia empty-handed.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: both sides cancel each other out and the points are shared, despite the market pricing this as the most likely single outcome.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.49
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.