The crowd called it — Atlético Nacional won 3–1.
Atlético Nacional vs Atlético Junior 607 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Nacional, well below on the draw. And the draw never came.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Atlético Nacional than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The dominant vision: Nacional controlling the tie and taking all three points, backed by nearly two thirds of the crowd in a tight, confident cluster.
A minority read, but stronger than the market implied: Junior overturning expectations on the road and leaving with the result.
The crowd's least-favoured scenario, and one the market priced far more generously: both sides cancelling each other out and sharing the points.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.19
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.