The crowd backed Cruz Azul. Atlas won 0–2.
Cruz Azul vs Atlas: how does it end? 645 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Atlas, well below on Cruz Azul. Atlas won.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Cruz Azul than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Cruz Azul controlling proceedings at home and closing out a win in front of their own supporters.
A sizable minority saw Atlas defying the market's scepticism and leaving with all three points as road underdogs.
A small slice of the crowd envisioned neither side breaking through, the points shared in a stalemate.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.68
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.