The crowd backed Celta Vigo. Osasuna won 1–2.
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: how does it end? 721 verified humans answered. Crowd leaned hardest on Celta Vigo, well above market, but Osasuna upset both reads.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Celta Vigo than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
A majority of the crowd saw Celta Vigo in control at home, backing them as clear favourites and pulling well clear of the market's own lean in that direction.
A minority vision, with roughly one in four voters seeing Osasuna leave with the points, tracking close to the market's own modest assessment of their chances.
The crowd's least-favoured scenario, with fewer than one in five seeing the sides level at the end, sitting notably below what the market had priced for a draw.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.87
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.