Poll closedTournament-wide
World Cup Group A Winner
What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 1019 World ID voters · poll closed.
Voters1019World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickMexiconet +19 · 73% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
⚡ The alpha windowPolling closed · event not yet resolved
Where the verified crowd diverges from the betting market — right now, before the event resolves.
Biggest gap: Czechia — the crowd is -15 ppt below the market price (18%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Czechia18%3%-15
Mexico59%73%+14
South Africa6%3%-3
South Korea19%21%+2
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is a sentiment signal, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Mexico leads the crowd — but bias doubt tempers the belief
Verified voters back Mexico with the strongest momentum and respect, yet the crowd's highest bias reading keeps the conviction from being clean — South Korea trails distantly, South Africa and Czechia barely register.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READ
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSION
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Mexico · Respect: Mexico · Pressure: Mexico · Bias: Mexico
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSION
Momentum +buzz / form right now
Respect +impressed in the lead-up
Pressure −least trusted under pressure
Bias −most overrated by the public
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Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. Our signals are not to be considered financial advice.
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