What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 1019 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters1019World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickMexiconet +19 · 73% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved19 Junthe event was played
The result
Crowd
Mexico
Crowd
Mexico · 73%
Market
Mexico · 59%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Czechia — the crowd is -15 ppt below the market price (18%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Czechia18%3%-15
Mexico59%73%+14
South Africa6%3%-3
South Korea19%21%+2
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs Mexico, but bias and pressure temper the belief
Strong momentum and respect push Mexico to the top, yet high bias and pressure readings reveal a crowd that sees risk in its own lean; South Korea trails distantly, with South Africa and Czechia barely registering
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Mexico73%
South Korea21%
South Africa3%
Czechia3%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Mexico+19
South Korea+6
South Africa-12
Czechia-13
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Mexico · Respect: Mexico · Pressure: Mexico · Bias: Mexico
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes