What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 1052 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters1052World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickEmiliano Martíneznet +27 · 64% of the read
Poll closed02 Julvotes captured at close
Resolved19 Julthe event was played
The result
Upset
Unai Simón
Crowd
Emiliano Martínez · 64%
Market
Emiliano Martínez · 21%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Emiliano Martínez — the crowd is +43 ppt above the market price (21%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Emiliano Martínez21%64%+43
Mike Maignan17%6%-11
Unai Simón12%5%-7
Alisson Becker9%3%-6
Other0%6%+6
Jordan Pickford6%2%-4
Manuel Neuer0%2%+2
Diogo Costa7%5%-2
Matt Freese0%2%+2
David Raya1%3%+2
Thibaut Courtois2%3%+1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd rallied hard behind Martínez, driven by momentum and respect
His lift dimensions dominated the field while doubt and bias stayed low, making the collective lean unusually decisive. The award went to Unai Simón.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Emiliano Martínez64%
Mike Maignan6%
Other6%
Diogo Costa5%
Unai Simón5%
Alisson Becker3%
Thibaut Courtois3%
David Raya3%
Matt Freese2%
Jordan Pickford2%
Manuel Neuer2%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Emiliano Martínez+27
Mike Maignan+3
Other+3
Unai Simón+1
Diogo Costa+1
Alisson Becker-2
Thibaut Courtois-3
David Raya-4
Matt Freese-7
Jordan Pickford-8
Manuel Neuer-10
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Emiliano Martínez · Respect: Emiliano Martínez · Pressure: Emiliano Martínez · Bias: Emiliano Martínez
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes
Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. The crowd's read is not to be considered financial advice.