ResolvedTournament-wide

World Cup Group J Winner

What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 1225 World ID voters · resolved.

Voters1225World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickArgentinanet +40 · 98% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved22 Junthe event was played
The result
Crowd
Argentina
Crowd
Argentina · 98%
Market
Argentina · 72%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Argentina — the crowd is +26 ppt above the market price (72%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Argentina72%98%+26
Austria19%1%-18
Algeria10%1%-9
Jordan2%0%-2
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs Argentina overwhelmingly, but bias and pressure temper the belief
Strong momentum and respect drove Argentina to near-total dominance in the combined read, while elevated bias and pressure scores signalled the crowd held quiet reservations. Argentina did win the group.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READ
Argentina98%
Austria1%
Algeria1%
Jordan0%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSION

One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.

Momentum +Respect +Pressure Bias
Argentina+40
Austria-9
Algeria-9
Jordan-22
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Argentina · Respect: Argentina · Pressure: Argentina · Bias: Argentina
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSION
Momentum +buzz / form right now
Argentina85%1036 votes
Austria8%98 votes
Algeria4%46 votes
Jordan4%45 votes
Respect +impressed in the lead-up
Argentina70%858 votes
Austria13%164 votes
Algeria9%109 votes
Jordan8%94 votes
Pressure least trusted under pressure
Argentina51%628 votes
Jordan22%264 votes
Austria15%184 votes
Algeria12%149 votes
Bias most overrated by the public
Argentina63%773 votes
Austria16%193 votes
Jordan12%144 votes
Algeria9%115 votes
MORE TOURNAMENT-WIDE CALLS