The crowd called it — Club Alianza Lima won 1–0.
Alianza Lima vs Cienciano del Cusco 557 verified humans answered. Crowd well below market on Alianza Lima, well above on Cienciano. Top pick still aligned with the result.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Club Alianza Lima than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Alianza Lima take the points at home, though with far less certainty than the market implied and a restless minority pointing elsewhere.
A sizeable slice of the crowd saw neither side pulling clear, treating a draw as a live and credible outcome rather than a remote one.
The crowd's most market-defiant pocket: Cienciano pulling off the away win, a scenario the market priced as a long shot but the crowd treated as a genuine possibility.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.33
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.