What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 576 World ID voters · poll closed.
Voters576World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickMichael Olisenet +17 · 35% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
⚡ The alpha windowPolling closed · event not yet resolved
Where the verified crowd diverges from the betting market — right now, before the event resolves.
Biggest gap: Michael Olise — the crowd is +20 ppt above the market price (15%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Michael Olise15%35%+20
Raphinha14%3%-11
Bukayo Saka10%3%-7
Mohamed Salah1%6%+5
Other0%5%+5
Bruno Fernandes15%19%+4
Lamine Yamal11%8%-3
Kevin De Bruyne3%6%+3
Luis Díaz2%5%+3
Martin Ødegaard2%4%+2
Florian Wirtz7%5%-2
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is a sentiment signal, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs Olise for Most Assists — low doubt, clean lift over the field
Olise leads on momentum and respect with the lightest pressure and bias of any contender; Bruno Fernandes sits second but carries more doubt, while Yamal draws the heaviest bias tag in the poll.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Michael Olise35%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Lamine Yamal8%
Kevin De Bruyne6%
Mohamed Salah6%
Luis Díaz5%
Florian Wirtz5%
Other5%
Martin Ødegaard4%
Raphinha3%
Bukayo Saka3%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Michael Olise+17
Bruno Fernandes+11
Lamine Yamal+2
Kevin De Bruyne-1
Mohamed Salah-1
Luis Díaz-2
Florian Wirtz-3
Other-3
Martin Ødegaard-4
Raphinha-8
Bukayo Saka-9
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Lamine Yamal · Respect: Lamine Yamal · Pressure: Lamine Yamal · Bias: Lamine Yamal
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes
Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. Our signals are not to be considered financial advice.