What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 709 World ID voters · poll closed.
Voters709World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickBrazilnet +45 · 98% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
⚡ The alpha windowPolling closed · event not yet resolved
Where the verified crowd diverges from the betting market — right now, before the event resolves.
Biggest gap: Brazil — the crowd is +26 ppt above the market price (72%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Brazil72%98%+26
Morocco22%2%-20
Scotland8%0%-8
Haiti1%0%-1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is a sentiment signal, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs Brazil overwhelmingly — but bias doubt tempers the belief
709 verified voters give Brazil near-total combined read dominance, lifted by strong momentum and respect, yet a notable bias signal keeps the backing short of pure conviction.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Brazil98%
Morocco2%
Scotland0%
Haiti0%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Brazil+45
Morocco+3
Scotland-16
Haiti-32
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Brazil · Respect: Brazil · Pressure: Brazil · Bias: Brazil
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes
Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. Our signals are not to be considered financial advice.