What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 548 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters548World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickJapannet +22 · 69% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved26 Junthe event was played
The result
Market
Netherlands
Crowd
Japan · 69%
Market
Netherlands · 54%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Japan — the crowd is +40 ppt above the market price (29%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Japan29%69%+40
Netherlands54%26%-28
Sweden15%4%-11
Tunisia6%1%-5
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Japan leads Group F: crowd backs momentum and respect over Netherlands' bias drag
The verified crowd's top pick carries the strongest respect and momentum scores in the group, while Netherlands draws higher bias doubt despite its own momentum spike.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Japan69%
Netherlands26%
Sweden4%
Tunisia1%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Japan+22
Netherlands+12
Sweden-8
Tunisia-26
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Netherlands · Respect: Japan · Pressure: Netherlands · Bias: Netherlands
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes