Poll closedTournament-wide
World Cup Group I Winner
What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 765 World ID voters · poll closed.
Voters765World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickFrancenet +38 · 98% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
⚡ The alpha windowPolling closed · event not yet resolved
Where the verified crowd diverges from the betting market — right now, before the event resolves.
Biggest gap: France — the crowd is +32 ppt above the market price (66%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
France66%98%+32
Norway25%2%-23
Senegal12%1%-11
Iraq1%0%-1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is a sentiment signal, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
France leads the crowd — high momentum and respect, but bias doubt lingers
The verified crowd overwhelmingly backs France as Group I winner, driven by strong momentum and respect scores, though a notable share flags them as overrated.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READ
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSION
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: France · Respect: France · Pressure: France · Bias: France
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSION
Momentum +buzz / form right now
Respect +impressed in the lead-up
Pressure −least trusted under pressure
Bias −most overrated by the public
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Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. Our signals are not to be considered financial advice.
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