ResolvedTournament-wide
World Cup Winner
What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 1546 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters1546World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickArgentinanet +28 · 49% of the read
Poll closed01 Julvotes captured at close
Resolved19 Julthe event was played
The result
UpsetSpain
- Crowd
- Argentina · 49%
- Market
- France · 33%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Argentina — the crowd is +30 ppt above the market price (19%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Argentina19%49%+30
France33%41%+8
Spain10%2%-8
England9%1%-8
Portugal6%1%-5
Brazil7%2%-5
Other0%4%+4
Netherlands0%1%+1
Germany0%1%+1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs Argentina hard, but bias doubt looms large over their lead
Strong momentum and respect put Argentina clear at the top, yet a notable bias reading signals the crowd's own hesitation about overrating them. Spain won the tournament.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READ
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSION
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Argentina · Respect: Argentina · Pressure: Portugal · Bias: Argentina
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSION
Momentum +buzz / form right now
Respect +impressed in the lead-up
Pressure −least trusted under pressure
Bias −most overrated by the public
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Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. The crowd's read is not to be considered financial advice.
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