What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 575 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters575World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickBelgiumnet +28 · 93% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved27 Junthe event was played
The result
Crowd
Belgium
Crowd
Belgium · 93%
Market
Belgium · 70%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Belgium — the crowd is +23 ppt above the market price (70%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Belgium70%93%+23
Egypt16%4%-12
Iran13%1%-12
New Zealand4%2%-2
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Belgium dominates the crowd's read, but doubt and overrated tags temper the belief
The verified crowd backs Belgium with commanding momentum and respect, yet elevated pressure and bias scores signal the collective holds real reservations beneath the headline lean.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Belgium93%
Egypt4%
New Zealand2%
Iran1%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Belgium+28
Egypt-4
New Zealand-11
Iran-14
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Belgium · Respect: Belgium · Pressure: Belgium · Bias: Belgium
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes