Poll closedTournament-wide
World Cup Group D Winner
What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 637 World ID voters · poll closed.
Voters637World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickTürkiyenet +10 · 51% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
⚡ The alpha windowPolling closed · event not yet resolved
Where the verified crowd diverges from the betting market — right now, before the event resolves.
Biggest gap: Türkiye — the crowd is +13 ppt above the market price (38%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Türkiye38%51%+13
USA38%27%-11
Australia10%6%-4
Paraguay18%17%-1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is a sentiment signal, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs Türkiye as Group D winner — quiet conviction, low noise
Türkiye leads on respect and momentum while carrying the least pressure and bias of any contender; USA draws energy but its doubt load keeps it well back.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READ
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSION
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: USA · Respect: USA · Pressure: USA · Bias: USA
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSION
Momentum +buzz / form right now
Respect +impressed in the lead-up
Pressure −least trusted under pressure
Bias −most overrated by the public
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Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. Our signals are not to be considered financial advice.
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