What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 637 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters637World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickTürkiyenet +10 · 51% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved20 Junthe event was played
The result
Market
USA
Crowd
Türkiye · 51%
Market
USA · 38%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Türkiye — the crowd is +13 ppt above the market price (38%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Türkiye38%51%+13
USA38%27%-11
Australia10%6%-4
Paraguay18%17%-1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs Türkiye to top Group D — quiet conviction over USA's noisy split
Türkiye leads on balanced momentum and respect with low doubt, while USA draws high energy but equally high pressure and bias signals; Türkiye won the group.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Türkiye51%
USA27%
Paraguay17%
Australia6%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Türkiye+10
USA+3
Paraguay-1
Australia-12
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: USA · Respect: USA · Pressure: USA · Bias: USA
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes