ResolvedTournament-wide
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 1183 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters1183World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickLionel Messinet +52 · 96% of the read
Poll closed01 Julvotes captured at close
Resolved19 Julthe event was played
The result
UpsetKylian Mbappe
- Crowd
- Lionel Messi · 96%
- Market
- Lionel Messi · 44%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Lionel Messi — the crowd is +52 ppt above the market price (44%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Lionel Messi44%96%+52
Kylian Mbappe42%1%-41
Harry Kane5%0%-5
Erling Haaland4%1%-3
Vinicius Junior2%0%-2
Cristiano Ronaldo1%0%-1
Ousmane Dembele1%1%0
Mikel Oyarzabal0%0%0
Deniz Undav0%0%0
Lamine Yamal0%0%0
Other0%0%0
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd swarms Messi for Golden Boot, driven by towering momentum and respect
Near-unanimous combined read, high momentum and respect with modest pressure and bias, set Messi apart from every rival; Kylian Mbappe took the award.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READ
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSION
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Lionel Messi · Respect: Lionel Messi · Pressure: Cristiano Ronaldo · Bias: Lionel Messi
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSION
Momentum +buzz / form right now
Respect +impressed in the lead-up
Pressure −least trusted under pressure
Bias −most overrated by the public
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Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. The crowd's read is not to be considered financial advice.
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