What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 564 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters564World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickPortugalnet +32 · 93% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved28 Junthe event was played
The result
Upset
Colombia
Crowd
Portugal · 93%
Market
Portugal · 64%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Portugal — the crowd is +29 ppt above the market price (64%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Portugal64%93%+29
Colombia32%5%-27
Democratic Republic of Congo4%1%-3
Uzbekistan3%1%-2
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Portugal dominates the crowd's read — but bias doubt tempers the conviction
The crowd backs Portugal overwhelmingly across momentum and respect, yet elevated pressure and bias scores signal a collective awareness that the lean may carry some overrating.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Portugal93%
Colombia5%
Democratic Republic of Congo1%
Uzbekistan1%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Portugal+32
Colombia+3
Democratic Republic of Congo-15
Uzbekistan-20
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Portugal · Respect: Portugal · Pressure: Portugal · Bias: Portugal
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes