ResolvedTournament-wide

2026 Women's French Open Winner

What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 98 World ID voters · resolved.

Voters98World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickAryna Sabalenkanet +14 · 39% of the read
Poll closed25 Mayvotes captured at close
Resolved07 Junthe event was played
The result
Upset
Mirra Andreeva
Crowd
Aryna Sabalenka · 39%
Market
Aryna Sabalenka · 26%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Iga Świątek — the crowd is -17 ppt below the market price (26%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Iga Świątek26%9%-17
Aryna Sabalenka26%39%+13
Other0%4%+4
Coco Gauff13%16%+3
Elena Rybakina16%14%-2
Elina Svitolina4%6%+2
Marta Kostyuk4%5%+1
Mirra Andreeva8%8%0
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READ
Aryna Sabalenka39%
Coco Gauff16%
Elena Rybakina14%
Iga Świątek9%
Mirra Andreeva8%
Elina Svitolina6%
Marta Kostyuk5%
Other4%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSION

One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.

Momentum +Respect +Pressure Bias
Aryna Sabalenka+14
Coco Gauff+5
Elena Rybakina+4
Iga Świątek0
Mirra Andreeva-2
Elina Svitolina-5
Marta Kostyuk-7
Other-9
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Aryna Sabalenka · Respect: Aryna Sabalenka · Pressure: Aryna Sabalenka · Bias: Aryna Sabalenka
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSION
Momentum +buzz / form right now
Aryna Sabalenka38%37 votes
Elena Rybakina16%16 votes
Coco Gauff13%13 votes
Iga Świątek8%8 votes
Mirra Andreeva8%8 votes
Other6%6 votes
Elina Svitolina5%5 votes
Marta Kostyuk5%5 votes
Respect +impressed in the lead-up
Aryna Sabalenka21%21 votes
Elina Svitolina18%18 votes
Coco Gauff16%16 votes
Mirra Andreeva16%16 votes
Elena Rybakina10%10 votes
Marta Kostyuk7%7 votes
Iga Świątek6%6 votes
Other4%4 votes
Pressure least trusted under pressure
Aryna Sabalenka28%27 votes
Mirra Andreeva14%14 votes
Elina Svitolina14%14 votes
Coco Gauff11%11 votes
Elena Rybakina10%10 votes
Marta Kostyuk8%8 votes
Other8%8 votes
Iga Świątek6%6 votes
Bias most overrated by the public
Aryna Sabalenka17%17 votes
Elina Svitolina14%14 votes
Coco Gauff13%13 votes
Elena Rybakina12%12 votes
Mirra Andreeva12%12 votes
Marta Kostyuk11%11 votes
Other11%11 votes
Iga Świątek8%8 votes
MORE TOURNAMENT-WIDE CALLS