What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 806 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters806World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickSpainnet +18 · 43% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved19 Julthe event was played
The result
Crowd
Spain
Crowd
Spain · 43%
Market
Spain · 17%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Spain — the crowd is +26 ppt above the market price (17%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Spain17%43%+26
England11%2%-9
Other0%4%+4
Portugal11%9%-2
Netherlands5%3%-2
France16%17%+1
Argentina9%10%+1
Brazil9%8%-1
Germany5%4%-1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs Spain with clear momentum, but Argentina carries the heaviest doubt
Spain led on momentum and combined read, while Argentina drew the most pressure and bias of any named contender, and France sat a distant second in overall lean. Spain did win the tournament.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Spain43%
France17%
Argentina10%
Portugal9%
Brazil8%
Germany4%
Other4%
Netherlands3%
England2%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Spain+18
France+9
Argentina+3
Portugal+2
Brazil0
Germany-5
Other-7
Netherlands-8
England-13
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Spain · Respect: Argentina · Pressure: Argentina · Bias: Argentina
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes