What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 1145 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters1145World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickMichael Olisenet +26 · 62% of the read
Poll closed01 Julvotes captured at close
Resolved19 Julthe event was played
The result
Crowd
Michael Olise
Crowd
Michael Olise · 62%
Market
Michael Olise · 77%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Michael Olise — the crowd is -15 ppt below the market price (77%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Michael Olise77%62%-15
Rodrigo De Paul1%8%+7
Other0%6%+6
Bukayo Saka7%2%-5
Luka Modrić0%5%+5
Achraf Hakimi0%3%+3
Bruno Fernandes2%4%+2
Florian Wirtz0%2%+2
Mohamed Salah3%4%+1
Lamine Yamal2%2%0
Martin Ødegaard3%3%0
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd rallies behind Olise with commanding momentum and low doubt
Olise dominated all four dimensions, drawing the highest momentum and respect while attracting minimal pressure and bias, a clean collective conviction; he did take the award.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Michael Olise62%
Rodrigo De Paul8%
Other6%
Luka Modrić5%
Bruno Fernandes4%
Mohamed Salah4%
Martin Ødegaard3%
Achraf Hakimi3%
Bukayo Saka2%
Florian Wirtz2%
Lamine Yamal2%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Michael Olise+26
Rodrigo De Paul+6
Other+3
Luka Modrić0
Bruno Fernandes-2
Mohamed Salah-2
Martin Ødegaard-4
Achraf Hakimi-4
Bukayo Saka-6
Lamine Yamal-9
Florian Wirtz-9
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Michael Olise · Respect: Michael Olise · Pressure: Lamine Yamal · Bias: Lamine Yamal
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes
Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. The crowd's read is not to be considered financial advice.