What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 735 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters735World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickFrancenet +18 · 38% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved19 Julthe event was played
The result
Crowd
France
Crowd
France · 38%
Market
France · 24%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: France — the crowd is +14 ppt above the market price (24%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
France24%38%+14
England12%3%-9
Brazil12%6%-6
Spain12%17%+5
Norway7%3%-4
Argentina8%11%+3
Germany8%5%-3
Portugal8%5%-3
Other0%3%+3
Belgium2%3%+1
Netherlands3%4%+1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs France with clear momentum lead, Argentina carries the heaviest doubt
France topped all four dimensions with the strongest momentum and lowest bias drag, while Argentina drew high respect but faced the crowd's sharpest pressure and bias; France did take the title.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
France38%
Spain17%
Argentina11%
Brazil6%
Germany5%
Portugal5%
Netherlands4%
Belgium3%
Norway3%
England3%
Other3%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
France+18
Spain+10
Argentina+6
Brazil0
Germany-1
Portugal-2
Norway-6
Belgium-6
Netherlands-6
England-7
Other-7
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: France · Respect: Argentina · Pressure: Argentina · Bias: Argentina
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes