What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 756 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters756World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickEuropenet +24 · 69% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved19 Julthe event was played
The result
Crowd
Europe
Crowd
Europe · 69%
Market
Europe · 73%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Europe — the crowd is -4 ppt below the market price (73%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Europe73%69%-4
Oceania0%3%+3
South America22%20%-2
Africa3%4%+1
Asia3%3%0
North America2%2%0
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs Europe with dominant momentum, but bias and pressure temper the belief
Strong momentum and respect lifted Europe to a clear lead in the swarm read, though notable bias and pressure scores kept the conviction from being clean. Europe did win.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Europe69%
South America20%
Africa4%
Asia3%
Oceania3%
North America2%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Europe+24
South America+11
Africa-5
Asia-7
Oceania-9
North America-14
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Europe · Respect: Europe · Pressure: Europe · Bias: Europe
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes