What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 821 World ID voters · poll closed.
Voters821World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickGermanynet +37 · 97% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
⚡ The alpha windowPolling closed · event not yet resolved
Where the verified crowd diverges from the betting market — right now, before the event resolves.
Biggest gap: Germany — the crowd is +29 ppt above the market price (68%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Germany68%97%+29
Ecuador21%2%-19
Ivory Coast14%1%-13
Curaçao1%0%-1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is a sentiment signal, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Germany dominates the crowd's read, but bias doubt tempers full conviction
821 verified voters back Germany with towering momentum and respect, yet notable bias sentiment keeps the collective read from being unanimous — Ecuador, Ivory Coast and Curaçao barely register.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Germany97%
Ecuador2%
Ivory Coast1%
Curaçao0%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Germany+37
Ecuador-4
Ivory Coast-11
Curaçao-22
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Germany · Respect: Germany · Pressure: Germany · Bias: Germany
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes
Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. Our signals are not to be considered financial advice.