What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 821 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters821World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickGermanynet +37 · 97% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved21 Junthe event was played
The result
Crowd
Germany
Crowd
Germany · 97%
Market
Germany · 68%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Germany — the crowd is +29 ppt above the market price (68%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Germany68%97%+29
Ecuador21%2%-19
Ivory Coast14%1%-13
Curaçao1%0%-1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd Backs Germany in a Landslide — But Bias and Pressure Temper the Belief
Strong momentum and respect propel Germany to near-total dominance in the swarm's read, yet elevated bias and pressure scores signal the crowd held quiet reservations; Germany won the group.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Germany97%
Ecuador2%
Ivory Coast1%
Curaçao0%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Germany+37
Ecuador-4
Ivory Coast-11
Curaçao-22
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Germany · Respect: Germany · Pressure: Germany · Bias: Germany
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes