What the verified crowd expressed across four sentiment dimensions — momentum, respect, pressure and bias. 678 World ID voters · resolved.
Voters678World ID, complete ballots
Crowd's pickKylian Mbappenet +13 · 27% of the read
Poll closed11 Junvotes captured at close
Resolved19 Julthe event was played
The result
Crowd
Kylian Mbappe
Crowd
Kylian Mbappe · 27%
Market
Kylian Mbappe · 16%
Shown for context. This page reports what the crowd expressed before the event — not a scorecard.
Crowd vs market
How the crowd’s read compared to the betting market.
Biggest gap: Lionel Messi — the crowd is +12 ppt above the market price (7%).
EntityMarketCrowdGap
Lionel Messi7%19%+12
Kylian Mbappe16%27%+11
Other0%6%+6
Harry Kane14%9%-5
Mikel Oyarzabal10%5%-5
Julian Alvarez5%8%+3
Erling Haaland8%9%+1
Cristiano Ronaldo5%4%-1
Raphinha3%4%+1
Lamine Yamal7%6%-1
Vinicius Junior3%4%+1
Gap = the crowd's read minus the market's implied price, in percentage points. The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
The crowd's story
Crowd backs Mbappe for Golden Boot, momentum leads but pressure stays low
Mbappe drew the field's strongest momentum and cleanest sentiment shape, while Messi carried high respect undercut by the crowd's heaviest bias load. Mbappe did win the Golden Boot.
THE CROWD'S COMBINED READshare of the crowd's read, per entity
Kylian Mbappe27%
Lionel Messi19%
Harry Kane9%
Erling Haaland9%
Julian Alvarez8%
Lamine Yamal6%
Other6%
Mikel Oyarzabal5%
Raphinha4%
Cristiano Ronaldo4%
Vinicius Junior4%
A blend of the four sentiment dimensions below — the crowd's overall lean, from their votes only.
HOW THE CROWD CALLED IT — BY DIMENSIONMomentum + Respect − Pressure − Bias = Net
One bar per entity — the mix of the crowd's read across the four dimensions. Green and blue (Momentum, Respect) are belief; amber and magenta (Pressure, Bias) are doubt. The more an entity's bar leans green/blue, the higher its net.
Momentum +Respect +Pressure −Bias −
Kylian Mbappe+13
Lionel Messi+9
Harry Kane+2
Erling Haaland+2
Julian Alvarez+1
Lamine Yamal-2
Mikel Oyarzabal-3
Other-3
Raphinha-5
Cristiano Ronaldo-7
Vinicius Junior-7
Each segment is that dimension's share of the entity's four-dimension total. Exact per-dimension vote counts are in “Distribution by dimension” below. Dimension leaders — Momentum: Kylian Mbappe · Respect: Lionel Messi · Pressure: Cristiano Ronaldo · Bias: Cristiano Ronaldo
DISTRIBUTION BY DIMENSIONhow the vote split on each question · share & votes