Soccer.

CD Guadalajara beat Monterrey 1-0.

Crowd called 0 of 3 legs; market called 1.

Crowd on Monterrey: 19 points above market, diverged from the outcome.

Chapecoense beat Fluminense 2-1.

Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.

Crowd leaned hard on Fluminense, well above market, but the upset flipped that divergence.

San Lorenzo de Almagro and Newell's Old Boys drew 0-0.

Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.

Crowd overweights San Lorenzo, sharply underweights the draw vs market, and the draw lands.

Atlético Madrid beat Deportivo La Coruña 1-0.

Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.

Crowd pushed hard above market on both teams scoring. That read diverged from the outcome.

Tottenham Hotspur beat Chelsea 2-0.

Crowd and market both called 0 of 3 legs.

Crowd leaned Chelsea far above market price, all three legs then broke the other way.

Napoli and Roma drew 3-3.

Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.

Crowd ran well above market on both teams scoring, and that read aligned with the result.

Fulham beat Coventry City 1-0.

Crowd and market both called 1 of 3 legs.

Crowd leaned Fulham well above market price, and Fulham did win, though the goals picture told a different story.

Arsenal beat Everton 2-0.

Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.

Crowd ran 20 points above market on both teams scoring, and that gap went against the grain of the result.

Aston Villa beat Manchester City 2-1.

Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.

Crowd ran 22 points above the market on City, a read the upset result cut against.

Cruzeiro beat Remo 1-0.

Crowd and market both called 1 of 3 legs.

Crowd meaningfully cooler than the market on goals, a gap that met a low-scoring finish.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata beat Sarmiento 2-0.

Crowd and market both called 1 of 1 legs.

Crowd well above market on Sarmiento, below on Gimnasia. The gap that defined this poll, with Gimnasia winning.

Platense beat Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 2-1.

Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.

Crowd and market both underweighted Platense, but diverged sharply on Tie vs Gimnasia.

Ipswich Town and Nottingham Forest drew 1-1.

Crowd and market both called 1 of 3 legs.

Crowd ran 16 points above market on Forest to win, then the match ended level.

Deportivo Alavés and Málaga drew 1-1.

Crowd and market both called 1 of 3 legs.

Crowd on Malaga: more than double the market price, the widest gap in the poll. Result landed as a draw.

Torino beat Monza 3-2.

Crowd and market both called 2 of 3 legs.

Crowd on Torino: well above market price, and the gap was the widest of the poll.

Flamengo and Estudiantes de La Plata drew 0-0.

Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.

Crowd well above market on Estudiantes, well below on Flamengo. The draw landed as the field's blind spot.

Besiktas and Crystal Palace drew 2-2.

Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.

Crowd piled on Crystal Palace at nearly double the market's implied probability, a draw settled it.

Bournemouth beat AC Milan 3-0.

Crowd called 0 of 3 legs; market called 2.

Crowd on Milan far above market price. The widest divergence of the poll, unmatched across all three legs.

Juventus and Rennes drew 2-2.

Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.

Crowd piled on Juventus at a rate the market didn't come close to matching, then the result went the other way.

Lech Poznań and Sunderland drew 1-1.

Crowd and market both called 1 of 3 legs.

Crowd pushed hard above market on Both Teams Score, and that was the read that landed.