Besiktas beat Marseille 4-1.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd piled onto Marseille at more than double the market rate, the widest gap on the card, and it did not align with.
Bournemouth beat Real Sociedad 2-1.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd ran well above market on Real Sociedad, well below on Bournemouth, the widest gap of the poll, and the result cut.
Juventus beat NEC Nijmegen 5-0.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd above market on both teams scoring, the widest gap, and that leg went the other way.
Real Betis beat Getafe 1-0.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd well above market on both teams scoring, leaning Yes where the market said No.
Barcelona beat Racing Santander 7-2.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd meaningfully cooler than the market on goals volume, and split against the market on both teams scoring.
Benfica beat AC Milan 2-0.
Crowd and market both called 0 of 3 legs.
Crowd on Milan: 24 points above market price, the widest gap on the card.
Sevilla beat Deportivo La Coruña 1-0.
Crowd and market both called 1 of 3 legs.
Crowd piled on Sevilla at more than double the market's implied probability, then the result followed.
Atlético Madrid beat Osasuna 4-0.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.
Crowd on Atletico win: well above market price, and it aligned with the result.
Real Madrid beat Elche 3-2.
Crowd called 2 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd leaned into Real Madrid above market price, and the result followed.
Valencia beat Deportivo Alavés 1-0.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.
Crowd massively overweight Valencia vs market, a read that landed, though the open-game vision did not.
Rayo Vallecano beat Espanyol 2-1.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.
Crowd piled on Espanyol at double the market rate, a gap that did not align with the final result.
Real Betis beat Villarreal 2-1.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.
Crowd leaned heavily Under on goals, well above the market price, and the market's side landed.
Como beat Parma 2-1.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.
Crowd loaded heavily on Parma; market barely acknowledged them as a threat.
Roma beat Torino 2-0.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.
Crowd well above market on Roma, the widest gap in the poll. That read landed.
Atlético Madrid beat Real Sociedad 3-0.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.
Crowd on Atletico: 19 points above market price, aligned with the final result.
Sassuolo beat Juventus 3-2.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.
Crowd piled on Juventus well above market price, but the upset flipped that divergence.
Bayern Munich beat Elversberg 2-1.
Crowd called 2 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd well below market on Over 2.5 goals, yet the game cleared that bar.
Real Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 4-1.
Crowd and market both called 2 of 3 legs.
Crowd above market on both teams scoring, and the result backed them up.
Lazio and AC Milan drew 2-2.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs — ahead of the market on 1.
Crowd piled into Milan at nearly double the market's implied weight. Goals reads landed, result did not.
Strasbourg and AS Monaco FC drew 1-1.
Crowd and market both called 1 of 3 legs.
Crowd ran 24 points above the market on Monaco, its clearest break from the price.